Environment

FSI scholars approach their research on the environment from regulatory, economic and societal angles. The Center on Food Security and the Environment weighs the connection between climate change and agriculture; the impact of biofuel expansion on land and food supply; how to increase crop yields without expanding agricultural lands; and the trends in aquaculture. FSE’s research spans the globe – from the potential of smallholder irrigation to reduce hunger and improve development in sub-Saharan Africa to the devastation of drought on Iowa farms. David Lobell, a senior fellow at FSI and a recipient of a MacArthur “genius” grant, has looked at the impacts of increasing wheat and corn crops in Africa, South Asia, Mexico and the United States; and has studied the effects of extreme heat on the world’s staple crops.

PESD has concluded a two year collaborative study on the Indian natural gas market with three India research groups- A.T. Kearney, Indian Institute of Management - Ahmedabad, and Integrated Research and Action for Development (IRADe). The study explores gas demand to the year 2025 in the three main gas consuming sectors within India - electricity generation, nitrogenous fertilizer production, and industrial applications - under a range of different policy and economic scenarios.

The study concludes that coal is likely to remain the dominant fuel in the power sector, but opportunities exist for gas in reducing regional air pollution and providing peaking power. For the fertilizer sector, significant opportunities exist to import cheap fertilizer, thereby reducing domestic gas demand, but political constraints will likely buoy gas demand. Industrial consumers will benefit from increased supplies from LNG to displace expensive liquid fuels, but cheap coal remains the dominant fuel for many industrial applications.

Regional air pollution constraints in the power sector - already underway in certain parts of India could reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 100 million tonnes per year. Reforms underway in the Indian coal sector, however, could bring a surge in new supplies, which would undermine the opportunities for gas in the power sector.

From an international supply standpoint, India doesn't appear able to guarantee the offtake of a proposed large natural gas pipeline from Iran within the next 10-15 years, making the project very difficult to justify from a financial risk standpoint.

Seminars
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The Program on Energy and Sustainable Development and the Department of Energy Resources Engineering host this discussion with Thamir Abbas Ghadhban on the state of Iraqi oil. Mr. Ghadhban will present before a discussion with moderators Lou Durlofsky and David Victor, followed by a Q&A with the audience.

After the fall of the Iraqi regime in April 2003, Mr. Ghadhban took initiative to play a leading role in managing the severely damaged Iraqi oil industry. He became CEO of the Ministry of Oil in 2003 and later Minister of Oil in June 2004 through May 2005.

On January 30, 2005, Thamir Ghadhban was elected for membership to the Iraq National Assembly and became a member of the constitutional and economic committees. The next year he continued his service by becoming advisor to the Vice President in March 2006. Currently, he advises the Iraqi Prime Minister on oil and energy.

Author & co-author of more than fifty studies and technical papers dealing with various aspects of Iraqi oil fields in addition to several published papers about Iraq's oil industry, Thamir Ghadhban holds a B.Sc. in Geology from University College and an M.Sc in Petroleum Reservoir Engineering from the Imperial College, London University. He has worked in Iraqi oil since 1973.

Clark Center Auditorium
James H. Clark Center
318 Campus Drive
Stanford University

School of International Relations and Pacific Studies
UC San Diego
San Diego, CA

(858) 534-3254
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Professor at the School of International Relations and Pacific Studies and Director of the School’s new Laboratory on International Law and Regulation
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David G. Victor Commentator
Lou Durlofsky Professor of Energy Resources Engineering Commentator
Panel Discussions
Paragraphs

PESD has concluded a two year collaborative study on the Indian natural gas market with A.T. Kearney. The study explores gas demand to the year 2025 in industrial applications under a range of different policy and economic scenarios.

Industrial consumers will benefit from increased supplies from LNG to displace expensive liquid fuels, but cheap coal remains the dominant fuel for many industrial applications.

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Working Papers
Publication Date
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Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper #68
Paragraphs

PESD has concluded a two year collaborative study on the Indian natural gas market with the Integrated Research and Action for Development (IRADe). The study explores gas demand to the year 2025 in nitrogenous fertilizer production under a range of different policy and economic scenarios.

For the fertilizer sector, significant opportunities exist to import cheap fertilizer, thereby reducing domestic gas demand, but political constraints will likely buoy gas demand. Industrial consumers will benefit from increased supplies from LNG to displace expensive liquid fuels, but cheap coal remains the dominant fuel for many industrial applications.

All Publications button
1
Publication Type
Working Papers
Publication Date
Journal Publisher
Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper #67
Paragraphs

PESD has concluded a two year collaborative study on the Indian natural gas market with the Indian Institute of Management - Ahmedabad. The study explores gas demand to the year 2025 in the electricity sector under a range of different policy and economic scenarios.

The study concludes that coal is likely to remain the dominant fuel in the power sector, but opportunities exist for gas in reducing regional air pollution and providing peaking power.

Regional air pollution constraints in the power sector - already underway in certain parts of India could reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 100 million tonnes per year. Reforms underway in the Indian coal sector, however, could bring a surge in new supplies, which would undermine the opportunities for gas in the power sector.

All Publications button
1
Publication Type
Working Papers
Publication Date
Journal Publisher
Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper #66
Authors
David G. Victor
Paragraphs

PESD has concluded a two year collaborative study on the Indian natural gas market with three India research groups- A.T. Kearney, Indian Institute of Management - Ahmedabad, and Integrated Research and Action for Development (IRADe). The study explores gas demand to the year 2025 in the three main gas consuming sectors within India - electricity generation, nitrogenous fertilizer production, and industrial applications - under a range of different policy and economic scenarios.

The study concludes that coal is likely to remain the dominant fuel in the power sector, but opportunities exist for gas in reducing regional air pollution and providing peaking power. For the fertilizer sector, significant opportunities exist to import cheap fertilizer, thereby reducing domestic gas demand, but political constraints will likely buoy gas demand. Industrial consumers will benefit from increased supplies from LNG to displace expensive liquid fuels, but cheap coal remains the dominant fuel for many industrial applications.

Regional air pollution constraints in the power sector - already underway in certain parts of India could reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 100 million tonnes per year. Reforms underway in the Indian coal sector, however, could bring a surge in new supplies, which would undermine the opportunities for gas in the power sector.

From an international supply standpoint, India doesn't appear able to guarantee the offtake of a proposed large natural gas pipeline from Iran within the next 10-15 years, making the project very difficult to justify from a financial risk standpoint.

All Publications button
1
Publication Type
Working Papers
Publication Date
Journal Publisher
Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper #65
Authors

616 Serra St. E415
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616 Serra St. E415
Encina Hall East
Stanford, CA 94305-6055

(650) 724-1714
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Research Fellow Research Fellow
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Sam earned his LLB and BA at the Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. Sam practiced at Clayton Utz, an Australian law firm, in their Corporate Advisory- Energy & Utilities department, specializing in energy regulation and asset finance. In 2006, he accepted a position as an associate at Clifford Chance in London, specializing in all aspects of finance, energy and environmental law in the firm's International Environmental and Climate Trading team.

In 2007, Sam was accepted as a SPILS fellow at Stanford Law School where he is currently preparing a thesis on international climate change and emissions trading regimes.

News Type
News
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PESD researcher BinBin Jiang, working with collaborators in three coastal provinces, releases a new paper that estimates demand for natural gas in China. The study shows that gas competes mainly in niche markets but can't unseat coal for power generation unless very tight regulations on local air pollution are applied. If local pollution is regulated, however, the study suggests that China would also make a substantial dent in its CO2 emissions.

A multi-year study of natural gas demand in China and India concludes with a forty-three paged document of startling conclusions from the cases of Guandong, Shanghai, and Beijing provinces. PESD researcher BinBin Jiang writes the results of market modeling of natural gas in these three coastal regions and comments on industrial, residential, and commercial demand for the commodity. Her report includes plans for future infrastructure, possible leverage for mitigation of carbon dioxide, the grip of coal on power in China, and estimations of energy usage.

Natural gas demand in China is not only an important concern for potential suppliers, but a global point of interest given the growing consumption of the developing country and associated emissions. The CO2 savings of natural gas as a less carbon intense fuel source for power could make a significant dent in future emissions. One surprising result Ms. Jiang writes on is the potential carbon savings of Chinese policy to reduce sulfur emissions--a concern for local and regional air quality--by switching fuel sources from coal to natural gas.

The report also focuses on China's demand and use for domestic coal and its consequences. The three regions studied have varied dependencies on fuel sources and the transport of fuel for power generation. With the help of three local Chinese academic teams and professional modelers, Ms. Jiang was able to get a full and in depth perspective of the real influences on Chinese decisions in fuel choice.

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